Monday, March 30, 2009

Monday, March 23, 2009

How injuries affect performance



 
 

Sent to you by nigel via Google Reader:

 
 

via From The Rink by James Mirtle on 3/22/09

I had some great stuff sent into me on the heels of this post earlier in the week on the man games lost to injury totals, including this chart from Kyle Joecken, a graduate student in mathematics at The Ohio State University: 

Injury_chart_medium

Essentially what this shows is the performance of teams and their injury totals from 2005-06 to 2007-08 (he did not include this season's projections). On average, teams during this period that had 100 man games lost to injury finished with about 10 more points than those that had 300.

And it's been virtually impossible to have a great season with more than 300 man games lost to injury. (This season's Capitals team will likely be only the second to top 100 points postlockout.)

Here's some geek speak from Kyle on this: "The equation for the line was y = -.0528x + 103.19. The R^2 value is .1018."

His conclusion based on this data (and ignoring the fact that some injuries are much, much more devastating than others)? 

"Basically, you lose one point for every 20 man-games lost."

Of course, that's all depending on averages, etc., and the correlation isn't that high, but if you apply that conclusion to a team rocked by injuries like the Islanders (on pace for an insane 566 man games lost to injury), they'd finish the season with about 28 more points than they're on pace for.

Or right about eighth or ninth in the Eastern Conference. 


 
 

Things you can do from here:

 
 

Monday, March 16, 2009

Banff FF

Always gives me a happy, anticipatory feeling. Usually the trailer promises more than the local highlights deliver, but...

Writing like DFW

http://www.kottke.org/09/03/growing-sentences-with-david-foster-wallace

It's me!!!  Or rather, my writing style* was, at best, a pallid imitation combining the ellipses, non-sequitors, footnotes and densely packed allusions to other, better writers - who I may or may not have read, but how could you know, given the combination of ADHD and speed-reading gone unchecked by the familiar dyad of Ritalin and Adderall that spread virally throughout the 6 - 18 year old segment of the North American population or at least that part of the population with xy chromosomes - but then that particular style of mine was slowly extinguished under the oppressive weight of corporate reports, spreadsheets, marketing reports (such as a white paper (and why white, instead of ecru or the pale blue of bureaucracies past) entitled "Why Your Firms Requires An Enterprise Mobility Strategy Now!" paid for by a German software entity in support of an already out of date product launch) and a general turn towards Orwell's "Politics and the English Language" as a preferred stylistic exemplar.

* Warning - attempt at self-mockery follows. It may be funnier if you've ever read DFW. Or not.

Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Steamboat images

You have been sent 29 pictures.


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These pictures were sent with Picasa, from Google.
Try it out here: http://picasa.google.com/

Monday, March 02, 2009

Why haven't we been attacked again?

Interesting series
  1. Terrorists Are Dumb? http://www.slate.com/id/2211994
  2. The Near-Enemy Theory http://www.slate.com/id/2211995
  3. Melting Pot Theory: http://www.slate.com/id/2211996
  4. Burden of Success http://www.slate.com/id/2211997
more to follow.